← Home

Why Health Insurance Is Outpacing the Tax Levy

Three charts and one loss ratio. Marblehead, FY2006–FY2027. Source: Annual Comprehensive Financial Reports, Finance Committee reports, and GIC published rate sheets.

Health insurance is the single line in the Marblehead budget growing faster than the property tax levy, year after year. It is not headcount. It is not any particular plan year. The evidence is three separate views of the same underlying data, each ruling out a different alternative explanation and pointing back to the same cause: per-employee unit cost set by a state insurance pool the town does not control.

1. Health insurance vs. the tax levy, indexed

Total tax levy
Health insurance spending
100 150 200 FY06 FY09 FY12 FY15 FY18 FY21 FY24 FY27 actual projected Joined GIC (state insurance pool) +110% health ins. +103% levy

Both lines start at 100 in FY2006 so you can compare growth rates directly. Health insurance spending grew faster than the tax levy for most of FY2006–FY2023. Through FY24 (actual): levy +86%, health insurance +75%. Through FY27 (projected): levy +103%, health insurance +110%. Solid lines are actual data, dashed lines after FY24 are projected.

2. It is not headcount

If the spending line went up because the town hired more people, you would see full-time-equivalent employee count rise alongside it. Total FTE went from 655 in FY2006 to 706 in FY2024, an 8% increase over 18 years, while health insurance spending roughly doubled. That 8% headcount growth explains a small fraction of the spending increase; the rest is per-employee unit cost.

The flat total line hides a composition shift underneath it. Education FTE grew from 466 to 537 (+15%) over the same period, while non-education departments (police, fire, DPW, library, administration) shrank from 188 to 169 FTE (−10%). Schools added staff; the rest of town government cut. For insurance costs, what matters is the total number of employees on plans, and that number barely moved. But a reader who knows schools have been hiring will reasonably question a flat-line chart that does not show where the offsetting cuts came from.

$8M $12M $16M $16.8M Joined state insurance pool 700 600 706 full-time equivalent FY06 FY09 FY12 FY15 FY18 FY21 FY24 FY27

Top: health insurance spending by fiscal year (from annual budgets). Bottom: full-time equivalent employees (annual from audited financial reports). FTE counts part-time employees as fractions. Total headcount is higher (1,185 in FY25 per contemporaneous reporting) but historical headcount data is not publicly available. The spending line doubled; the staffing line is essentially flat.

3. One family plan, published premiums

If it is not headcount, it is price per employee. Here is the actual price of one Harvard Pilgrim family plan through the state Group Insurance Commission, taken directly from the GIC's published rate sheets. This is the full premium before the 83/17 employer-employee split; the town pays 83% of the figures below under the Public Employee Committee agreement.

$25K $30K $35K $40K FY19 FY20 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 $24,107 $38,562 +60% in 7 years

Full annual premium for one Harvard Pilgrim family plan through the state Group Insurance Commission. Rose from $24,107 (FY19) to $38,562 (FY26), +60% in seven years. FY20 data point is derived from state employee rates, not directly from the municipal rate sheet. FY21–FY22 rate sheets were not publicly available. Plan name changed from Independence Plan to Access America in FY24.

See this in context: Group Insurance line in the budget tool.

Why it is rising this fast

The state regulator's explanation comes from Hill Group consultants, reporting to Marblehead's Public Employee Committee. They put Marblehead's loss ratio (claims paid out by the GIC on Marblehead's behalf divided by the premiums Marblehead paid in) at 114% in FY2024, rising to 119% through April of FY2025. A ratio above 100% means the town draws more from the insurance pool than it contributes in premiums, which is the direct mechanism by which Marblehead's GIC rates keep climbing even as it shares a pool with dozens of other municipalities. The Hill Group consultants identified GLP-1 weight-loss drugs as a notable cost driver. Source: Marblehead Independent.

The FY24 dip in the first chart is the one year the pattern broke. In FY24 the GIC replaced the Harvard Pilgrim Independence Plan with Access America. Per-employee premiums still rose 11.6%, but the plan change let total town spending fall 8.7% that year. Staffing was flat. It was a one-time plan swap, not a lasting reversal.

The FY26–FY27 spike is the 119% loss ratio working through the GIC's rate-setting process. The FY27 budget projects a 15% increase over FY26. In February 2026 the GIC board voted 10–7 to drop GLP-1 weight-loss drug coverage starting July 2026, which may slow future growth, but FY27 rates were already set before that decision. Rate relief, if it comes, would not show up until FY28 or later.

The town does not set its own rates or plan designs. Those are decisions made at the state level by the GIC board. Marblehead's option is to cover whatever rates the GIC sets, with the town paying 83% and employees paying 17% under an agreement with the Public Employee Committee that cannot be changed unilaterally.

How does Marblehead's 83/17 split compare?

Among eight Massachusetts peer towns surveyed for FY2026, Marblehead's 83% employer share is tied with Brookline for the highest. Stoneham and Melrose pay 80%, Wellesley 78%, Winchester and Natick 75%, and Hingham 50%. The median is 78%. On a $38,562 family plan, the difference between 83% and 78% is roughly $1,928 per employee per year. Multiply that across several hundred enrollees and the premium split becomes a meaningful budget line in its own right.

There is an important caveat: the premium split is set through the Public Employee Committee under MGL c. 32B s. 19 and can only be changed through collective bargaining, typically at contract renewal every two to three years. It is a policy choice, but not one the town can change in any given budget cycle. For how the premium split relates to teacher salaries and total compensation across peer towns, see Salary vs. Benefits.

What levers does the town have?

The healthcare page so far has described a problem the town largely does not control in the short run. But residents reasonably ask: is there anything the town can do? Three categories:

Premium split renegotiation. Moving from 83/17 to 75/25 on Marblehead's most-enrolled plans would shift roughly $1.3M per year from the town to employees, based on current GIC family plan rates and estimated enrollment. This requires a negotiated agreement with the Public Employee Committee. It is a real lever, but it operates on a bargaining cycle, not a budget cycle.

GIC exit. Massachusetts municipalities can leave the GIC and self-insure or join a municipal health group. Some towns have done this. The trade-off is administrative complexity and risk: the GIC pools claims across dozens of municipalities, which smooths out the kind of loss-ratio spikes Marblehead is experiencing now. A small town self-insuring takes on more volatility, not less. Whether GIC exit would save Marblehead money depends on whether its claims experience would be better or worse outside the pool, and with a 119% loss ratio, the answer right now is probably worse.

Staffing levels and benefits eligibility. Under MGL c. 32B s. 2, any employee working 20 or more hours per week is eligible for health benefits. The town cannot change that threshold, but it does decide how many positions are structured at or above it. Reducing headcount is the bluntest lever and carries service-delivery consequences, but it is the only one that directly reduces the number of people on town health plans.

None of these options is quick or painless, which is part of why health insurance costs have compounded for two decades. The levers exist, but they operate on longer time horizons than a single budget year.

Tax levy: MA Department of Revenue, Division of Local Services, FY06–FY24 levy reports (includes debt exclusions). FY25–FY27 projected at 3% annual growth (Finance Committee rate for levy + new growth).

Health insurance spending: "Group Insurance" line from Annual Comprehensive Financial Report budget schedules (FY06–FY13), Finance Committee reports (FY14–FY25), and proposed budgets (FY26–FY27). FY20 not publicly available (shown as dashed connector). Includes active employee health insurance, Medicare supplement, and Medicare reimbursement for all town and school employees.

Employees: Full-time equivalent from audited financial report statistical sections (FY06–FY24). FTE counts a 20 hr/wk employee as 0.5. Total headcount (1,185 in FY25 per Marblehead Independent) is higher because many employees are part-time.

Family plan premiums: Rates from GIC published rate charts: FY19 from Wayback Machine archive, FY20 derived from state employee rate sheet, FY23–FY26 from current mass.gov. Plan is Harvard Pilgrim Independence Plan (FY19–FY23) / Access America (FY24–FY26), the most common broad-network option. FY21–FY22 rate sheets not publicly available.

Loss ratio and GLP-1 attribution: Sue Shillue of Hill Group (the town's insurance consultant), reporting to the Public Employee Committee, quoted in Marblehead Independent, "Possible insurance break gives Marblehead budget outlook a lift." GLP-1 coverage decision from GIC board vote, February 2026, 10–7 to drop coverage effective July 2026. GIC rate control authority under MGL c. 32B s. 19 (the PEC statute).

Employer-employee split: Marblehead pays 83% of every GIC premium; employees pay 17%. Set by agreement with the Public Employee Committee and cannot be changed unilaterally by the town. Peer-town splits from FY2026 rate sheets and PEC agreements; full data in data/peer_premium_splits.csv.

Education vs. non-education FTE: From ACFR "Full-time Equivalent Town Employees by Function" tables, education row vs. total minus education. Education FTE: 466 (FY06) to 537 (FY24), +15%. Non-education FTE: 188 (FY06) to 169 (FY24), −10%. The FY23 jump from 483 to 537 education FTE is unexplained in public records and may reflect ESSER-funded positions or a reporting change.

Retiree health (OPEB): Active-employee health insurance (the "Group Insurance" budget line, charted above) is separate from the town's long-term liability for retiree health benefits (Other Post-Employment Benefits). The FY2026 budget transferred $250,000 into the retiree benefits trust; the FY2027 proposed budget transfers $0. The underlying OPEB liability continues to accrue. Active-employee OPEB cost in FY2024 was $695 per employee; retiree OPEB cost was $731 per retiree (ACFR FY2024).